Sandstorm is a serious natural disaster in north China. It is of great significance to carry out relevant research to improve the forecast level of this kind of catastrophic weather. Based on the RegCM-dust model, an extended period numerical prediction analysis of a typical severe sandstorm process in north China is conducted, and the results are compared with NCEP reanalysis data and other analysis results. The results show that the regions with high sediment discharge simulated by the model are mainly located in southern Xinjiang, Mongolia and western Inner Mongolia. The model has a certain forecasting ability for 10 m wind speed, but the simulated wind speed is smaller than the reanalysis data. The changes of dust column content and total sedimentation simulated by the model can reflect the characteristics of the dust storm weather process. The simulated sand-dust mixing ratio has a certain correspondence with the urban pollution index, which indicates that the model has certain forecasting ability for the pollution weather caused by sand-dust.
Drought is one of the natural disasters with the widest global impact. The anomalous drought and heatwave event that occurred in the Yangtze River Basin in summer of 2022 is not only of high intensity but also of long duration, it is a rare and significant drought event leading to very serious socioeconomic impacts in China. In view of the extreme nature of this event, this paper reveals the possible influence of atmospheric circulation and external forcing anomalies on this drought event based on an objective analysis of the evolutionary characteristics of this event. It is found that the meteorological drought index and soil moisture monitoring results consistently indicate that this drought event started to appear in June, developed rapidly in July, and further expanded and intensified in both extent and intensity in August. At the same time, the overall temperature in the basin was high, with the number of high temperature days exceeding 40 days in some areas. In addition, anomaly of evapotranspiration over the basin in summer was the second highest on record since 1960, second only to the high temperature drought event in 2013, which further exacerbated the degree of water deficit in the Yangtze River Basin. From the perspective of circulation characteristics, the abnormal intensifying and westward extension of the western Pacific subtropical high pressure, the small area and weak strength of the polar vortex and the intensifying and eastward shift of the South Asian high pressure in summer jointly led to weak water vapor transport conditions and prevailing sinking air currents in the Yangtze River Basin, making the overall conditions unfavorable for the occurrence of precipitation. The persistence of the La Niña event, the appearance of negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and the persistence of the negative snow cover anomaly in the northwestern Tibet Plateau in spring may be the main external forcing factors leading to the circulation anomaly in this summer.
Considering the different disaster-pregnant environment, population density and economic condition, the drought disaster chain models in southwest and south China were constructed respectively by using history data and record of references. Here, the disaster-pregnant environment includes climate background, underlying surface, landforms, soil and river network. And on this basis that the transmission characteristics of disaster on separate disaster chains were analyzed. The results show that the drought disaster chain structure is similar in southwest and south China, but their transfer process of disaster on the two chain is different. There are obvious regional characteristics of disaster transfer on their chain. The incipient drought can cause crop drought in southwest China, while moderate drought can cause crop drought in south China. In southwest China, the moderate drought can lead to some problems such as people and livestock drinking water difficult and livestock forage shortage, but these corresponding problems can be generated by the severe drought in south China. Being the difference in disaster-pregnant environment, the rock desertification phenomenon appears in southwest China under the severe drought condition, but the probability of rock desertification is small in south China except for north Guangxi. In the same region, as far as the various disaster-affected bodies are concerned, the threshold of drought degree transmitting is different. For example, shipping problems usually result from the moderate drought, and forest fire and pest disaster are often led by the severe drought, while soil degradations appear in the extreme drought.